## Ciclo de Palestras – Segundo Semestre de 2020

**Coordenação: **Professora Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

Devido à pandemia, as palestras ocorrerão no ambiente virtual gratuito Google Meet (https://meet.google.com/ruv-ruxx-ehg) durante os próximos meses. As palestras ocorrerão **às quartas-feiras às 15h30**, a menos de algumas exceções devidamente indicadas. *A sala será aberta sempre 10 minutos antes do início de cada sessão.*

**Lista completa (palestras previstas para datas futuras podem sofrer alterações)**

Joint work with João Góis.

Joint work with Cristiano C. Santos.

* joint work with Thomas Kneib (University of Goettingen)

Joint work with Jacqueline T. Alves (Institute for Healthcare Improvement/ Africa Region), Maria do Carmo Leal (Fiocruz), Rosa Domingues (Fiocruz) and Tatiana H. Leite (Fiocruz)

*Joint work with Loveness Nyaradzo Dzikiti and Brendan Girdler-Brown from the University of Pretoria (South Africa)

*joint work with Jean-Paul Fox, University of Twente and Dalton F. Andrade, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina

#### 23/09

*A Prior for Record Linkage Based on Allelic Partitions*

Brenda Betancourt (University of Florida)

We discuss different parametrizations of the log-relative risk of the total number of cases and the parameters of the multinomial distribution. We have available the number of cases across the n = 160 boroughs of the city, the percentage of green area of the borough, a social-economic index and the population density. Inference is performed under the Bayesian framework. Our analysis suggests that as the percentage of green area increases the relative risk for the total number of cases decreases. The odds of a borough having chikungunya instead of dengue decreases as the social index increases, whereas the odds of having zika instead of chikungunya increases with the social index. The odds ratio of zika or chikungunya with respect to dengue fever is not affected by the percentage of the green area of the borough. This is joint work with Laís P. Freitas, Marília S. Carvalho, and Oswaldo Cruz (Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Brazil).